Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.230017 1.421251 1.631786 1.880687 2.166860 2.485545 2.867363
2025-04-20 0.957058 1.205015 1.501436 1.881640 2.356216 2.928978 3.672872
2025-04-27 0.792348 1.075341 1.438836 1.939358 2.610302 3.478445 4.687408
2025-05-04 0.660858 0.959262 1.367989 1.967632 2.824204 4.003306 5.750180
2025-05-11 0.554542 0.855534 1.292499 1.971393 2.998408 4.493135 6.834368
2025-05-18 0.456663 0.745104 1.186795 1.910033 3.063023 4.828609 7.738015
2025-05-25 0.372315 0.639797 1.070099 1.809699 3.047148 5.032801 8.461013
2025-06-01 0.322165 0.580757 1.016118 1.798601 3.167299 5.459927 9.591096
2025-06-08 0.276866 0.522072 0.952912 1.760420 3.232942 5.800569 10.615944
2025-06-15 0.259202 0.509542 0.967110 1.858558 3.547751 6.604133 12.550785
2025-06-22 0.235395 0.481524 0.948668 1.892999 3.749031 7.227507 14.236095
2025-06-29 0.208965 0.444108 0.906827 1.875907 3.848428 7.671649 15.636377
2025-07-06 0.176230 0.389781 0.826156 1.774403 3.776128 7.793982 16.459571
2025-07-13 0.162971 0.374323 0.821871 1.828874 4.028950 8.592776 18.762574
2025-07-20 0.154059 0.366935 0.833410 1.918697 4.369229 9.615471 21.676973
2025-07-27 0.142711 0.352163 0.826713 1.967350 4.626763 10.497394 24.410280
2025-08-03 0.130336 0.332931 0.807107 1.983570 4.813342 11.248757 26.955969
2025-08-10 0.114991 0.303906 0.760451 1.929077 4.827452 11.614373 28.665261
2025-08-17 0.099258 0.271233 0.700079 1.831866 4.724253 11.693319 29.702883
2025-08-24 0.090220 0.254488 0.676510 1.823074 4.837698 12.300475 32.108160
2025-08-31 0.080845 0.235277 0.643813 1.785809 4.873285 12.721702 34.105164
2025-09-07 0.078593 0.235479 0.661980 1.886237 5.283032 14.133039 38.838440
2025-09-14 0.073719 0.227382 0.656627 1.921728 5.523550 15.140273 42.641876